By
Daniel
Frankel
|
Variety
Magazine
For syndication's top
off-network sitcom, value
relates more to the dynamics
of scarce resources than it
does with ratings.
Distributor King World
Prods. found this out - much
to the delight of parent
company Viacom's
shareholders - earlier this
year, when it sold the
second syndie cycle of
"Everybody Loves Raymond."
Signing deals that will
render its backers $8.8
million an episode in
licensing fees alone,
"Raymond" becomes only the
fourth skein to take in more
than its second cycle than
it did in its first (it took
in about $3.5 million per
show the first time around).
"Seinfeld", "MASH", and
"Three's Company" were the
other comedies to do it.
When "Raymond's" second
cycle starts in December
2008, Fox stations in New
York, Los Angeles, Chicago,
Dallas and Houston - who won
the high-price bidding war
against incumbent Tribune
stations - will take over
"Raymond."
Certainly ratings had
something to do with their
decision to pony up the big
money. "Raymond" is TV's top
off-net program, averaging a
6.2 audience rating at the
start of its fourth season
in syndication, according to
Nielsen Media Research.
But the show's current
good syndie ratings don't
explain why Fox stations
would pay so much for a
series that will have been
off CBS prime time for three
years - and stripped in
syndication and on cable for
seven - by the time its
second cycle starts.
"There doesn't seem to be
another off-network sitcom
on the near horizon," notes
Bill Carroll, exec VP and
director of programming for
Katz TV. "With (nothing)
coming along to challenge
'Raymond,' its unlikely that
we'll see a dramatic decline
in popularity any time soon.
Indeed, from NBC's
"Scrubs" to Fox's "Arrested
Development," Carroll
doesn't foresee any of the
top-rated sitcoms on the
networks right now as having
the kind of dynamics - stand
out ensemble, strong male
lead actor - that can take a
sizable audience away from
"Raymond" in syndication.
At this point, it's not
like the non-affiliate
stations that run off-net
sitcoms - those that aren't
tied to ABC, CBS or NBC, and
don't run national news,
could afford a new hit
anyway.
Besides, committing
hugely to "Raymond,"
major-market Fox stations
have paid out similar big
money to a third cycle of
Sony's venerable
"Seinfeld"," making it the
most profitable TV series
ever.
Tribune stations,
meanwhile, had to pay huge
dollars to Warner Brothers
to keep "Friends" around.
They're quietly mulling
plans to develop an
alternative series of some
kind that can replace
sitcoms in the early evening
time periods.
It might take that kind
of outside-of-the-box
thinking to challenge
"Raymond."
Even if an inspired
network launched a comedy
today that could, King World
CEO Roger King notes, it
wouldn't hit the off-net
marketplace until 2010 at
the earliest.
Which, for the
foreseeable future, leads
everyone in the station
community back to loving
"Raymond," a show that's
been in the after markets of
syndication, cable and DVD -
the series' first season is
out on disc, and the second
season arrives next month -
for far less time than
"Seinfeld" and "Friends."
Being the newest to this
elite crop of seemingly
irreplaceable comedy
franchises will have its
advantages down the road.
The series' syndie run -
as well as its daily airings
on cable's TBS that started
this fall - should also
benefit as CBS winds down
"Raymond's" network run this
season with an ample amount
of promotional buzz.
It's hard to tell how big
a factor this will be in
giving "Raymond" a boost. In
the week up to NBC's
shuttering of Central Perk
in May, sydnie ratings for
"Friends" spiked 5% to just
5.8.
"Just like "Seinfeld" and
"Friends", it's going to be
huge," King says. "The grand
finale is going to be big."
Given the recent success
rate of network programmers
in the off net world, it
might not be a stretch to say that
King World is already
thinking third cycle: "I
don't think you'll find an
ensemble cast like that
again," King adds.